Finance · 04/10/2025
US Inflation Cools in March Boosting June Rate Cut Prospects
US CPI unexpectedly slowed down in March, with core CPI also declining. Price drops in energy and used cars were the main drivers. The market anticipates a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Attention now turns to the upcoming PCE data for further insights into inflation trends and the Fed's future policy decisions.
Finance · 08/06/2025
Goldman Sachs Adjusts 2025 Rate Forecast Delays Expected Cut
Goldman Sachs has updated its monetary policy outlook for 2025, eliminating the forecast for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January, expecting a terminal rate of 3.5%-3.75%. There is uncertainty regarding the pace of future rate cuts and the terminal rate. Rate cuts are also expected from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, especially as inflation risks diminish in Japan. The global economy is anticipated to return to moderate inflation, with developed countries generally facing low inflation challenges.
Finance · 06/13/2025
US Producer Prices Fall Boosting Fed Rate Cut Hopes
US PPI data for May indicates that companies are absorbing some tariff costs, squeezing profit margins but benefiting consumers. A weakening labor market and moderating inflation have strengthened market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. This strategy of companies absorbing costs may not be sustainable in the long run. Future price trends and the direction of Fed policy warrant close attention.
Finance · 07/18/2025
The Evolution of Net Interest Margin in the U.S. Banking Sector and Its Relationship with Interest Rate Policies
This article explores the relationship between the net interest margin of the U.S. banking industry, interest rate policy, and Treasury yields, alongside their dynamic changes.
Finance · 07/22/2025
Understanding FOMC Meetings 2025 Interest Rate Forecast and Economic Trends Analysis
The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting is a crucial part of the U.S. Federal Reserve, aimed at promoting 'full employment' and 'price stability'. The June 2025 meeting predicts two interest rate cuts, reflecting concerns over slowing economic growth and rising inflation. The FOMC meets at least eight times a year to determine monetary policy and release economic forecasts, providing vital information to the markets.
Finance · 07/24/2025
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision Sparks Market Volatility As Swiss National Bank Faces Rate Reevaluation Challenges
In its latest meeting, the Federal Reserve decided to maintain interest rates, despite adjusting its economic outlook, indicating a potential slowdown in future rate cuts. The market anticipates a short-term rebound of the dollar, while gold and silver prices experienced volatility. The Swiss National Bank may consider reinstating a zero interest rate policy.
Finance · 05/02/2025
Market Alert Former Treasury Secretary Criticizes The Logic Of Interest Rate Cuts And Calls For Sustaining High Rates
The former Treasury Secretary harshly criticized market expectations for interest rate cuts, arguing that bond market trends do not justify such actions and warning that accommodative policies could severely undermine market confidence in controlling inflation. Additionally, despite clear signs of economic weakness, he emphasized that cutting rates would be highly inappropriate while inflation remains effectively uncontrolled, urging a cautious approach to price pressures.
Finance · 08/06/2025
US Stocks Waver Amid Trump Economic Policy Uncertainty
The US stock market is experiencing turbulence as President Trump’s military deployments and new tariff policies raise market concerns. Dismal non-farm employment data and rising expectations for changes in interest rate policies have made investors acutely aware of the potential for economic recession. Attention should be paid to future economic trends and the impacts of shifts in international relations.
Finance · 07/22/2025
Rate Cut Outlook Urgency of Economic Challenges and Inflation Targets
Within the Federal Reserve, there are differing opinions on interest rate policy, with many expecting two rate cuts this year. It is emphasized that waiting for inflation to drop to 2% before taking action could negatively impact the economy. Analysis shows that while businesses are under pressure, consumer spending remains relatively stable, providing room for adjustments in monetary policy.
Finance · 08/06/2025
US Stocks Plunge Amid Trumps Military Move Rate Cut Pressure
The US stock market has recently experienced a sharp decline, as calls for military strengthening and interest rate cuts under Trump's administration grow. Poor economic data has raised concerns among investors. Additionally, changes in Trump's policies may affect the Federal Reserve's decisions and market confidence, posing serious challenges for the economic outlook in the future.
Finance · 08/06/2025
US Stocks Volatile Amid Trump Policies and Rate Cut Pressure
U.S. stocks faced a sharp decline due to disappointing non-farm payroll data. There is rising demand for military deployments and interest rate cuts under Trump's administration, leading to investor concerns about the future economic outlook. Additionally, international tensions and trade policies are impacting market confidence, creating a complex and uncertain economic environment.
Finance · 05/07/2025
Goldman Sachs Analyzes Fed Rate Cut Prospects Amid Tariff Impact
Goldman Sachs predicts the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in May but may cut rates in July due to tariff impacts. The Fed's threshold for rate cuts is high, requiring clear evidence of economic slowdown. The impact of tariffs on the job market could be crucial. Investors should pay close attention to summer economic data and adjust their investment strategies accordingly.
Finance · 08/06/2025
US Stocks Volatile Amid Trump Policies Economic Data
The US stock market is facing significant turmoil due to weak employment data and inconsistencies in Trump’s policies, raising concerns about recession risks. The Dow Jones index has declined repeatedly as investors boost expectations for future interest rate cuts. Meanwhile, Trump's military deployments have heightened international tensions, impacting investor confidence. Overall market sentiment remains fragile, necessitating close attention to the direction of economic policies.
Finance · 06/23/2025
Strong US PMI Data Fuels Inflation Worries May Delay Fed Cuts
US PMI data for June exceeded expectations, but rising cost pressures are fueling inflation concerns, potentially leading the Federal Reserve to postpone interest rate cuts. Both manufacturing and services sectors expanded, however, input costs surged, forcing businesses to raise prices. Geopolitical risks are driving up oil prices, further limiting the Fed's room for easing. Markets now anticipate the Fed might delay rate cuts until the end of the year. The economic outlook remains uncertain due to persistent inflationary pressures and external shocks.
Finance · 11/07/2024
Trumps Return A Dual Test for the Global Economy and Central Banks
After Trump's return to the presidency, the global economy and monetary policy face dual challenges. His high tariffs and tax cut promises could lead to rising inflation in the U.S. and limit the room for interest rate cuts by global central banks. Officials from various central banks have started to take measures to address the impending challenges, particularly in emerging markets, where adjustments in monetary policy are imperative.